Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:47·BAL 0, TB 0

   (12:47) 11-J.Stout punts 45 yards to TB 11, Center-46-N.Moore. 30-D.Delaney MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by BAL-25-K.Seymour at TB 6.

   +22pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:11·BAL 16, TB 10

   (:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 80-I.Likely for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 14:20·BAL 17, TB 10

   (14:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 13-M.Evans to BAL 13 for 51 yards (26-G.Stone).

   +14pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:56·BAL 10, TB 10

   (4:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 80-I.Likely to TB 40 for 17 yards (90-L.Hall; 22-K.Neal).

   +10pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:40·BAL 10, TB 10

   (3:40) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill right tackle to TB 29 for 12 yards (94-C.Nassib).

   +9pp

   BAL