Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 9:10·TB 0, BAL 3

   (9:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right intended for 84-T.Houshmandzadeh INTERCEPTED by 25-A.Talib at TB 39. 25-A.Talib to BAL 36 for 25 yards (81-A.Boldin). Cody Grimm (TB) injured on play. Leaves field on cart.

   +16pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:14·TB 3, BAL 9

   (3:14) (No Huddle) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 86-T.Heap for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Todd Heap's 5th TD reception of season. Joe Flacco's 52nd career TD pass - Ravens record.

   +16pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:43·TB 0, BAL 3

   (7:43) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep middle to 82-K.Winslow to BAL 15 for 19 yards (95-J.Johnson).

   +8pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q1 · 8:30·TB 0, BAL 0

   (8:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 84-T.Houshmandzadeh ran ob at TB 47 for 23 yards.

   +7pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 14:25·TB 0, BAL 0

   (14:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at TB 27 for -11 yards (93-G.McCoy).

   +6pp

   TAM