Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:18·NYJ 23, PIT 20

   (:18) 20-Br.Hall left guard to PIT 1 for 1 yard (39-M.Fitzpatrick). FUMBLES (39-M.Fitzpatrick), recovered by NYJ-83-T.Conklin at PIT 1. 83-T.Conklin to PIT 1 for no gain (39-M.Fitzpatrick). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 20-Br.Hall left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +39pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q3 · 8:53·NYJ 10, PIT 6

   (8:53) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right intended for 83-T.Conklin INTERCEPTED by 39-M.Fitzpatrick at NYJ 38. 39-M.Fitzpatrick for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-17-G.Wilson, Offensive Pass Interference, declined. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was inbounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right intended for 83-T.Conklin INTERCEPTED by 39-M.Fitzpatrick at NYJ 38. 39-M.Fitzpatrick ran ob at NYJ 4 for 34 yards (20-Br.Hall). Penalty on NYJ-17-G.Wilson, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +22pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:42·NYJ 17, PIT 20

   (3:42) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass short right intended for 88-P.Freiermuth INTERCEPTED by 30-M.Carter [54-J.Martin] at NYJ 35. 30-M.Carter to NYJ 35 for no gain (88-P.Freiermuth).

   +15pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:08·NYJ 24, PIT 20

   (:08) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep middle INTERCEPTED by 29-L.Joyner at NYJ 0. Touchback.

   +15pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:41·NYJ 0, PIT 0

   (7:41) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle intended for 18-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 29-L.Joyner at PIT 40. 29-L.Joyner to PIT 36 for 4 yards (22-N.Harris).

   +14pp

   NYJ