Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:30·PIT 0, NYJ 9

   (3:30) 1-M.Vick pass deep right to 10-T.Graham for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:15·PIT 0, NYJ 10

   (3:15) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 84-A.Brown to PIT 20 for -1 yards (96-M.Wilkerson). FUMBLES (96-M.Wilkerson), RECOVERED by NYJ-37-J.Jarrett at PIT 22. 37-J.Jarrett to PIT 20 for 2 yards (73-R.Foster). The Replay Official challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +7pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:31·PIT 0, NYJ 3

   (5:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 84-A.Brown pushed ob at PIT 39 for 10 yards (24-P.Adams).

   +6pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:07·PIT 0, NYJ 0

   (13:07) 1-M.Vick pass short left to 16-P.Harvin to PIT 38 for 8 yards (20-W.Allen; 22-W.Gay).

   +5pp

   NYJ