Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 8:53·NYJ 10, PIT 19

   (8:53) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 17-M.Wallace for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +12pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:27·NYJ 0, PIT 3

   (6:27) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 11-J.Kerley to PIT 21 for 45 yards (23-K.Lewis).

   +11pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 2:14·NYJ 7, PIT 3

   (2:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 84-A.Brown to NYJ 32 for 18 yards (26-E.Lankster).

   +11pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:58·NYJ 10, PIT 6

   (2:58) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 88-E.Sanders to NYJ 27 for 19 yards (52-D.Harris). PENALTY on NYJ-30-L.Landry, Unnecessary Roughness, 13 yards, enforced at NYJ 27.

   +10pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:37·NYJ 10, PIT 20

   (4:37) (Punt formation) 9-D.Butler punts 49 yards to NYJ 38, Center-60-G.Warren. 11-J.Kerley MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by PIT-29-R.Mundy at NYJ 42. 29-R.Mundy to NYJ 42 for no gain (11-J.Kerley). Penalty on NYJ-20-K.Wilson, Illegal Block Above the Waist, declined.

   +8pp

   PIT