Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:25·NYJ 3, PIT 6

   (10:25) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 14-S.Coates for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:00·NYJ 6, PIT 7

   (6:00) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Berry right end to NYJ 31 for -3 yards (45-R.Miles). FUMBLES (45-R.Miles), ball out of bounds at NYJ 27. Penalty on PIT-78-A.Villanueva, Illegal Formation, declined.

   +11pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:11·NYJ 12, PIT 7

   (2:11) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 15-B.Marshall for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q1 · 7:42·NYJ 3, PIT 7

   (7:42) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left to 15-B.Marshall to PIT 43 for 18 yards (23-M.Mitchell) [98-V.Williams].

   +9pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 13:16·NYJ 3, PIT 7

   (13:16) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at PIT 46 for -8 yards (56-A.Chickillo). FUMBLES (56-A.Chickillo) [56-A.Chickillo], and recovers at PIT 45. 14-R.Fitzpatrick to PIT 45 for no gain (56-A.Chickillo).

   +8pp

   PIT