Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:39·PIT 10, NYJ 16

   (1:39) 4-L.Edwards punts 28 yards to PIT 40, Center-42-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-42-T.Hennessy.

   +14pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q3 · 2:09·PIT 10, NYJ 13

   (2:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass short left to 19-J.Smith-Schuster to NYJ 43 for 14 yards (46-N.Hewitt; 37-M.Canady).

   +12pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:44·PIT 10, NYJ 16

   (:44) (Shotgun) 6-D.Hodges FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 49, and recovers at 50. 6-D.Hodges pass incomplete deep middle to 19-J.Smith-Schuster.

   +11pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:36·PIT 3, NYJ 10

   (:36) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at NYJ 42 for -7 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt) [90-T.Watt], RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at NYJ 41.

   +11pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:09·PIT 9, NYJ 10

   (:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass deep left to 18-D.Johnson for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   PIT