Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:27·TEN 6, BUF 7

   (5:27) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:14·TEN 0, BUF 0

   (11:14) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 15-J.Kumerow to TEN 31 for 11 yards (30-T.Avery).

   +10pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:07·TEN 7, BUF 16

   (1:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:34·TEN 7, BUF 7

   (13:34) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 16-T.Burks pushed ob at BUF 46 for 16 yards (21-J.Poyer).

   +8pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:24·TEN 7, BUF 7

   (3:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 14-S.Diggs. PENALTY on TEN-30-T.Avery, Defensive Pass Interference, 13 yards, enforced at BUF 47 - No Play.

   +7pp

   BUF