Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:22·BUF 31, TEN 34

   (:22) 17-J.Allen up the middle to TEN 3 for no gain (98-J.Simmons).

   +38pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 5:04·BUF 13, TEN 10

   (5:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 20-Z.Moss INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard (96-D.Autry) [96-D.Autry] at BUF 27. 31-K.Byard to BUF 11 for 16 yards (79-S.Brown).

   +21pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 11:31·BUF 6, TEN 6

   (11:31) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 1:48·BUF 23, TEN 24

   (1:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Diggs. PENALTY on TEN-39-B.Borders, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at TEN 44 - No Play.

   +17pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 4:35·BUF 31, TEN 27

   (4:35) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine to BUF 22 for 8 yards (49-T.Edmunds).

   +16pp

   TEN