Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:41·BUF 14, TEN 13

   (1:41) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left intended for 13-K.Wright INTERCEPTED by 24-S.Gilmore [99-M.Dareus] at BUF 38. 24-S.Gilmore to BUF 38 for no gain (13-K.Wright). TEN-13-K.Wright was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +30pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:38·BUF 7, TEN 13

   (7:38) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan to TEN 7 for 46 yards (21-D.Searcy).

   +19pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 11:21·BUF 0, TEN 3

   (11:21) (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 58 yards to BUF 12, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 17-D.Moore to BUF 40 for 28 yards (45-J.Fowler; 48-B.Brinkley). Tennessee challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 58 yards to BUF 12, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 17-D.Moore to BUF 39 for 27 yards (45-J.Fowler). FUMBLES (45-J.Fowler), RECOVERED by TEN-52-S.Johnson at BUF 39. 52-S.Johnson to BUF 39 for no gain (58-R.Johnson). Penalty on BUF-27-D.Williams, Illegal Block Above the Waist, declined.

   +13pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:17·BUF 7, TEN 13

   (8:17) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor scrambles up the middle to BUF 31 for 24 yards (55-Z.Brown). BUF-5-T.Taylor was injured during the play. His return is Probable. PENALTY on TEN-55-Z.Brown, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 31.

   +12pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:51·BUF 14, TEN 13

   (1:51) (Punt formation) 6-C.Schmidt punts 46 yards to TEN 22, Center-65-G.Sanborn. 22-D.McCluster to TEN 31 for 9 yards (20-C.Graham).

   +12pp

   TEN