Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:03·TEN 12, BUF 13

   (:03) 4-S.Hauschka 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

   +44pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 8:03·TEN 9, BUF 10

   (8:03) 17-J.Allen pass deep right intended for 18-A.Holmes INTERCEPTED by 25-A.Jackson [58-H.Landry] at TEN 39. 25-A.Jackson to TEN 46 for 7 yards (11-Z.Jones). Interception followed coverage and tip at TEN 42.

   +20pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 5:53·TEN 6, BUF 7

   (5:53) 33-D.Lewis left guard to TEN 49 for 1 yard (90-S.Lawson). FUMBLES (90-S.Lawson), RECOVERED by BUF-21-J.Poyer at TEN 49. 21-J.Poyer to TEN 49 for no gain (64-J.Kline).

   +18pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:17·TEN 6, BUF 10

   (14:17) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 19-T.Sharpe to BUF 38 for 13 yards (24-T.Johnson). Stop pattern, caught at BUF 39.

   +13pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:12·TEN 12, BUF 10

   (2:12) (Shotgun) 33-C.Ivory right end to TEN 44 for 9 yards (31-K.Byard).

   +11pp

   BUF