Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·JAX 10, BUF 17

   End of half - 2.27 pm

   +57pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:47·JAX 10, BUF 7

   10-J.Scobee kicks 61 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 4. 81-M.Easley pushed ob at JAX 41 for 55 yards (20-M.Harris). PENALTY on JAX-39-R.Murphy, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 41.

   +13pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:56·JAX 10, BUF 14

   (1:56) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne sacked at JAX 13 for -7 yards (94-M.Williams). FUMBLES (94-M.Williams), RECOVERED by BUF-94-M.Williams at JAX 14. 94-M.Williams to JAX 14 for no gain (78-C.Bradfield).

   +12pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:39·JAX 0, BUF 0

   (10:39) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle to 11-T.Graham to JAX 1 for 51 yards (22-K.Rutland, 42-C.Prosinski). Caught at JAX 15, slanting from left.

   +11pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:00·JAX 10, BUF 13

   (2:00) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 84-S.Chandler for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 6 yds. into end zone.

   +11pp

   BUF