Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 14:04·NYJ 14, NE 20

   (14:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 86-D.Asiasi for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 14:22·NYJ 7, NE 7

   (14:22) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle to 19-B.Perriman pushed ob at NE 12 for 53 yards (27-J.Jackson).

   +14pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q3 · 2:31·NYJ 14, NE 13

   (2:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Meyers pass short right to 1-C.Newton for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Handoff to NE 26-S.Michel, backwards pass to NE 16-J.Meyers who passes to NE 1-C.Newton.

   +13pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 0:22·NYJ 14, NE 14

   (:22) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle intended for 19-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Jackson at NE 38. 27-J.Jackson pushed ob at NYJ 45 for 17 yards (69-C.McDermott). NE 27-J.Jackson 9th interception of season, 2nd in NFL (Howard (MIA), 10). NE 27-Jackson 11th takeaway of season, passes Haynes, Law, Marion & Samuel for 2nd in franchise history (Hall 13 in 1964).

   +9pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:45·NYJ 6, NE 7

   (1:45) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle to 89-C.Herndon for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NE-41-M.Bryant, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +8pp

   NYJ