Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 1:59·NE 19, NYJ 13

   (1:59) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 11-J.Edelman for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:18·NE 6, NYJ 7

   (1:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN [96-H.Anderson].

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:39·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (5:39) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short left to 10-J.Kearse to NE 38 for 3 yards (30-J.McCourty) [91-D.Wise]. PENALTY on NE-91-D.Wise, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at NE 38.

   +11pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:26·NE 10, NYJ 7

   (:26) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short right to 10-J.Kearse to NE 37 for 16 yards (23-P.Chung) [70-A.Butler].

   +10pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:00·NE 10, NYJ 7

   (2:00) 15-J.McCown pass deep middle intended for 11-R.Anderson INTERCEPTED by 24-S.Gilmore [55-J.Simon] at NE 2. 24-S.Gilmore to NE 2 for no gain (11-R.Anderson).

   +9pp

   NWE