Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 12:53·NYJ 3, NE 14

   (12:53) 25-E.McGuire up the middle to NYJ 25 for no gain (98-T.Flowers). FUMBLES (98-T.Flowers), RECOVERED by NE-32-D.McCourty at NYJ 22. 32-D.McCourty to NYJ 8 for 14 yards (89-C.Herndon).

   +10pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 2:35·NYJ 0, NE 7

   (2:35) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 18-D.Burnett to NE 23 for 10 yards (27-J.Jackson) [53-K.Van Noy].

   +7pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:34·NYJ 3, NE 21

   (4:34) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short middle to 11-R.Anderson (24-S.Gilmore).

   +6pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:57·NYJ 3, NE 13

   (12:57) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 34-R.Burkhead for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-98-M.Pennel, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +6pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:26·NYJ 0, NE 0

   (8:26) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 15-C.Hogan to NYJ 35 for 9 yards (54-A.Williamson).

   +6pp

   NWE