Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 11:42·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (11:42) (No Huddle) 17-J.Allen right tackle to NYJ 27 for 6 yards (20-M.Maye). FUMBLES (20-M.Maye), RECOVERED by NYJ-30-B.McDougald at NYJ 21. 30-B.McDougald to NYJ 19 for -2 yards (26-D.Singletary).

   +11pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 14:34·NYJ 10, BUF 21

   (14:34) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 89-C.Herndon to NYJ 41 for -5 yards (21-J.Poyer). FUMBLES (21-J.Poyer), RECOVERED by BUF-55-J.Hughes at NYJ 38. 55-J.Hughes to NYJ 38 for no gain (77-M.Becton). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +8pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:37·NYJ 10, BUF 21

   (1:37) 2-T.Bass 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

   +6pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q3 · 5:23·NYJ 9, BUF 21

   (5:23) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 82-J.Crowder for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   NYJ