Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:16·JAX 0, HOU 0

   (12:16) 9-L.Cooke punts 49 yards to HOU 12, Center-45-M.Overton, downed by JAX-17-D.Chark. Jacksonville challenged the kick downed ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 9-L.Cooke punts 49 yards to HOU 12, Center-45-M.Overton. 14-D.Carter MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by JAX-53-B.Brown at HOU 10.

   +16pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:42·JAX 3, HOU 3

   (1:42) 8-T.Daniel punts 36 yards to HOU 49, Center-46-J.Weeks. 12-D.Westbrook MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by HOU-41-Z.Cunningham at HOU 49. 41-Z.Cunningham ran ob at HOU 49 for no gain.

   +14pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:10·JAX 3, HOU 0

   (8:10) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 10-D.Hopkins to JAX 19 for 26 yards (25-D.Hayden).

   +7pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q1 · 8:40·JAX 3, HOU 0

   (8:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 10-D.Hopkins to JAX 45 for 9 yards (97-M.Jackson, 41-T.Herndon).

   +6pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 0:25·JAX 3, HOU 3

   (:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep right to 11-S.Mitchell. PENALTY on JAX-41-T.Herndon, Defensive Pass Interference, 27 yards, enforced at JAX 37 - No Play.

   +6pp

   HOU