Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:10·JAX 20, HOU 21

   (1:10) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep middle intended for 15-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 27-Q.Demps at JAX 37. 27-Q.Demps to JAX 25 for 12 yards (81-B.Walters).

   +27pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:20·JAX 20, HOU 21

   (1:20) 9-S.Lechler punts 32 yards to JAX 7, Center-46-J.Weeks, downed by HOU-35-E.Pleasant.

   +19pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:58·JAX 20, HOU 21

   (1:58) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass incomplete deep middle to 15-A.Robinson [94-A.Smith].

   +19pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:10·JAX 3, HOU 0

   (13:10) 17-B.Osweiler pass deep middle intended for 15-W.Fuller INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Ramsey at JAX 40. 20-J.Ramsey to HOU 25 for 35 yards (15-W.Fuller).

   +17pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 7:02·JAX 19, HOU 8

   8-N.Novak kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to JAX 0. 11-M.Lee for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on JAX-11-M.Lee, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +16pp

   JAX