Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 14:33·NE 20, NYJ 20

   (14:33) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 81-Q.Enunwa to NE 30 for 48 yards (27-T.Wilson).

   +38pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:31·NE 13, NYJ 20

   (2:31) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to NYJ 9 for 26 yards (25-C.Pryor).

   +19pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 3:31·NE 12, NYJ 17

   (3:31) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at NYJ 16 for -9 yards (93-J.Sheard). FUMBLES (93-J.Sheard) [95-C.Jones], RECOVERED by NE-91-J.Collins at NYJ 14. 91-J.Collins for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +15pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:30·NE 3, NYJ 10

   (13:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left intended for 87-R.Gronkowski INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Revis at NYJ 21. 24-D.Revis to NYJ 39 for 18 yards (19-B.LaFell).

   +11pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:33·NE 13, NYJ 20

   (13:33) 8-R.Bullock 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.

   +10pp

   NYJ