Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:05·NYJ 25, NE 27

   (:05) 2-N.Folk 58 yard field goal is BLOCKED (94-Chr.Jones), Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.

   +35pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:36·NYJ 25, NE 27

   (2:36) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 85-J.Cumberland for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:40·NYJ 0, NE 6

   (13:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 34-S.Vereen for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:16·NYJ 25, NE 27

   (1:16) 6-R.Allen punts 33 yards to NYJ 12, Center-48-D.Aiken, downed by NE-48-D.Aiken.

   +12pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:12·NYJ 12, NE 17

   (10:12) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 87-E.Decker to NE 8 for 18 yards (24-D.Revis; 23-P.Chung).

   +10pp

   NYJ