Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 10:46·NYJ 20, NE 16

   (10:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 11-J.Edelman to NYJ 46 for 27 yards (34-D.Bailey).

   +14pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:26·NYJ 10, NE 9

   (6:26) 62-R.Wendell reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 7:22·NYJ 20, NE 22

   (7:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:17·NYJ 0, NE 0

   (14:17) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at NYJ 14 for -2 yards (95-C.Jones). FUMBLES (95-C.Jones) [95-C.Jones], RECOVERED by NE-54-D.Hightower at NYJ 19. 54-D.Hightower to NYJ 19 for no gain (87-E.Decker).

   +11pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:30·NYJ 10, NE 13

   (:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at NYJ 14 for -12 yards (91-J.Collins).

   +11pp

   NWE