Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 7:26·NE 17, NYJ 16

   (7:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 19-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Williams [58-J.Babin] at NE 31. 22-M.Williams to NE 30 for 1 yard (19-B.LaFell).

   +24pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:21·NE 17, NYJ 16

   (5:21) 2-N.Folk 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (75-V.Wilfork), Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.

   +19pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:19·NE 10, NYJ 13

   (1:19) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 88-J.Amaro INTERCEPTED by 91-J.Collins [95-Cha.Jones] at NYJ 40. 91-J.Collins to NYJ 40 for no gain. Lateral to 39-B.Browner to NYJ 38 for 2 yards (11-J.Kerley).

   +18pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 6:08·NE 17, NYJ 16

   (6:08) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at NE 34 for -10 yards (54-D.Hightower).

   +14pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 6:03·NE 7, NYJ 6

   (6:03) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 85-J.Cumberland for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   NYJ