Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:22·NYJ 10, NE 13

   (11:22) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 19-E.Gates INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Talib (25-K.Arrington) [75-V.Wilfork] at NE 11. 31-A.Talib to NE 11 for no gain (84-S.Hill). NE-25-K.Arrington was injured during the play.

   +19pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:08·NYJ 10, NE 13

   (1:08) 6-R.Allen punts 26 yards to NYJ 29, Center-48-D.Aiken, downed by NE-52-D.Fletcher. NE 6-Allen 514 punt yards in game, ties franchise record (Rich Camarillo at Chicago 9/15/85) NE 6-Allen 11 punts in game, ties franchise record (3 others)

   +16pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:48·NYJ 10, NE 13

   (:48) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right intended for 84-S.Hill INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Talib at NYJ 46. 31-A.Talib ran ob at NYJ 32 for 14 yards. PENALTY on NYJ-74-N.Mangold, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced at NYJ 32. PENALTY on NYJ-66-W.Colon, Disqualification, 9 yards, enforced between downs. PENALTY on NYJ-60-D.Ferguson, Disqualification, 0 yards, enforced between downs.

   +14pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 12:38·NYJ 10, NE 13

   (12:38) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 84-S.Hill ran ob at NE 32 for 37 yards.

   +13pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:34·NYJ 0, NE 7

   (10:34) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 84-S.Hill to NE 48 for 33 yards (31-A.Talib). FUMBLES (31-A.Talib), RECOVERED by NE-32-D.McCourty at NE 48. 32-D.McCourty to NYJ 8 for 44 yards (81-K.Winslow).

   +13pp

   NWE