Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 6:25·BUF 10, NE 10

   (6:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 80-D.Amendola to BUF 6 for 41 yards (28-R.Darby). NE-80 Amendola 7th career 100-yard game.

   +16pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:19·BUF 3, NE 9

   (:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 28-J.White for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 28-White 1st NFL TD.

   +12pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:40·BUF 9, NE 10

   (10:40) (Shotgun) 25-L.McCoy right end for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +12pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:50·BUF 10, NE 17

   (2:50) 6-R.Allen punts 34 yards to BUF 30, Center-49-J.Cardona. 21-L.McKelvin to BUF 32 for 2 yards (36-B.King). FUMBLES (36-B.King), RECOVERED by NE-55-J.Freeny at BUF 35. 55-J.Freeny to BUF 30 for 5 yards (36-J.Meeks). FUMBLES (36-J.Meeks), ball out of bounds at BUF 30.

   +9pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:39·BUF 10, NE 20

   (5:39) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan pushed ob at NE 15 for 42 yards (23-P.Chung).

   +9pp

   BUF