Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 8:40·NE 10, BUF 6

   (8:40) 22-S.Ridley up the middle to BUF 25 for -1 yards (50-K.Alonso). FUMBLES (50-K.Alonso), RECOVERED by BUF-25-D.Searcy at BUF 26. 25-D.Searcy for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +28pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 4:21·NE 17, BUF 21

   (4:21) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 2, RECOVERED by BUF-50-K.Alonso at BUF 1. 50-K.Alonso to BUF 14 for 13 yards (29-L.Blount). The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +19pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:09·NE 23, BUF 21

   (:09) 3-S.Gostkowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.

   +18pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:20·NE 20, BUF 21

   (1:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola to BUF 29 for 10 yards (23-A.Williams). Caught at BUF 30.

   +16pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:05·NE 23, BUF 21

   (:05) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short middle to 22-F.Jackson to BUF 32 for 12 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by BUF-3-E.Manuel at BUF 29. 3-E.Manuel to BUF 29 for no gain (37-A.Dennard).

   +16pp

   NWE