Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:42·BUF 3, NE 6

   (1:42) (Shotgun) 9-T.Lewis pass deep left to 10-R.Woods to NE 48 for 27 yards (25-K.Arrington).

   +10pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:06·BUF 3, NE 3

   (4:06) 22-S.Ridley right guard to BUF 25 for 29 yards (31-J.Byrd).

   +9pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:04·BUF 0, NE 3

   (8:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-T.Lewis pass deep right to 88-M.Goodwin pushed ob at NE 20 for 22 yards (30-D.Harmon).

   +9pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:22·BUF 3, NE 12

   (12:22) 29-L.Blount left guard for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-70-L.Mankins was injured during the play. NE 29-Blount 8th career 100-yard game.

   +8pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 1:29·BUF 10, NE 16

   2-D.Carpenter kicks 68 yards from BUF 35 to NE -3. 29-L.Blount to BUF 20 for 83 yards (81-M.Easley).

   +8pp

   NWE