Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 13:21·BUF 0, NE 0

   (13:21) 18-K.Orton pass deep middle to 14-S.Watkins to NE 10 for 43 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +13pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 8:43·BUF 14, NE 3

   (8:43) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton sacked at BUF 44 for -6 yards (91-J.Collins). FUMBLES (91-J.Collins) [91-J.Collins], RECOVERED by NE-91-J.Collins at BUF 44. 91-J.Collins to BUF 44 for no gain (70-E.Wood).

   +10pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:14·BUF 14, NE 3

   (7:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 34-S.Vereen pushed ob at BUF 26 for 9 yards (53-N.Bradham).

   +9pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 5:57·BUF 17, NE 6

   (5:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo left end to BUF 14 for -1 yards (33-R.Brooks).

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:34·BUF 17, NE 9

   (7:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short left to 81-T.Wright. PENALTY on BUF-33-R.Brooks, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 45 - No Play.

   +7pp

   NWE