Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:08·NE 6, BUF 7

   (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 11-J.Edelman for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at goal line, crossing from middle.

   +10pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 5:22·NE 21, BUF 7

   (5:22) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass incomplete deep left to 18-P.Harvin. Overthrown, receiver near sideline at NE 5. Presure on QB: J.Collins. PENALTY on NE-24-B.Fletcher, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at NE 48 - No Play.

   +8pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:20·NE 37, BUF 31

   (4:20) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep left to 14-S.Watkins for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·NE 14, BUF 7

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right intended for 85-C.Clay INTERCEPTED by 21-Mal.Butler at BUF 39. 21-Mal.Butler to BUF 30 for 9 yards (18-P.Harvin).

   +7pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 4:08·NE 21, BUF 13

   (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 33-D.Lewis pushed ob at BUF 43 for 40 yards (53-N.Bradham).

   +6pp

   NWE