Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·NE 13, BUF 7

   End of half - 2.38 pm

   +46pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:03·NE 13, BUF 7

   (:03) 3-S.Gostkowski 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.

   +45pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:15·NE 7, BUF 7

   (2:15) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton sacked at BUF 23 for -3 yards (95-Cha.Jones). FUMBLES (95-Cha.Jones), RECOVERED by NE-95-Cha.Jones at BUF 24. 95-Cha.Jones to BUF 24 for no gain (77-C.Glenn).

   +16pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:14·NE 10, BUF 7

   (:14) (Shotgun) 28-C.Spiller right tackle to BUF 45 for 15 yards (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-90-Z.Moore at BUF 42. 90-Z.Moore ran ob at BUF 42 for no gain.

   +12pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 15:00·NE 0, BUF 0

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short middle intended for 88-M.Goodwin INTERCEPTED by 91-J.Collins at NE 39. 91-J.Collins to NE 39 for no gain (88-M.Goodwin).

   +9pp

   NWE