Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·JAX 36, BUF 26

   End of quarter - 3:57 pm

   +46pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:46·JAX 36, BUF 26

   (:46) 35-D.Karim left end to BUF 41 for -1 yards (54-A.Davis, 90-C.Kelsay).

   +46pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:35·JAX 26, BUF 20

   (1:35) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 11-M.Sims-Walker for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 2 yds. into end zone.

   +17pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:20·JAX 0, BUF 0

   (13:20) 8-B.Moorman punts 44 yards to JAX 41, Center-65-G.Sanborn. 80-M.Thomas to JAX 43 for 2 yards (47-C.Harris). FUMBLES (47-C.Harris), RECOVERED by BUF-65-G.Sanborn at JAX 45.

   +14pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 7:01·JAX 20, BUF 19

   (7:01) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 13-St. Johnson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in front corner of end zone.

   +12pp

   BUF