Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:48·BUF 10, JAX 13

   (3:48) 5-T.Edwards sacked at JAX 47 for -7 yards (93-Q.Groves). FUMBLES (93-Q.Groves), RECOVERED by JAX-97-R.Hayward at BUF 49. 97-R.Hayward to BUF 45 for 4 yards. Lateral to 51-C.Ingram to BUF 38 for 7 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at BUF 36. Play Challenged by BUF and Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 03:35.)

   +24pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 4:27·BUF 10, JAX 16

   (4:27) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass deep left to 83-L.Evans pushed ob at JAX 7 for 37 yards (43-G.Sensabaugh).

   +22pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:01·BUF 17, JAX 16

   (4:01) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at JAX 10 for -10 yards (95-K.Williams).

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:14·BUF 10, JAX 3

   (:14) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right intended for 81-M.Walker INTERCEPTED by 24-T.McGee (99-M.Stroud) at BUF -3. Touchback. Ball tipped by JJ 99 at line of scrimmage

   +11pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:20·BUF 10, JAX 3

   (12:20) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to BUF 46 for 9 yards (30-K.Simpson). PENALTY on BUF-51-P.Posluszny, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at BUF 46.

   +10pp

   JAX