Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:57·TEN 30, BUF 29

   (:57) 7-J.Losman pass deep left intended for 82-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 21-R.Hill at TEN 2. 21-R.Hill to TEN 13 for 11 yards.

   +34pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:01·TEN 20, BUF 16

   (:01) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 82-J.Reed to TEN 8 for 52 yards (31-C.Finnegan). Caught at TEN 8. Penalty gives BUF untimed down. PENALTY on TEN-97-T.Brown, Face Mask (15 Yards), 5 yards, enforced at TEN 8.

   +21pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:14·TEN 19, BUF 16

   (:14) (Shotgun) 10-V.Young scrambles left tackle for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Changed direction upfield and ran at right side to end zone.

   +19pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 9:18·TEN 20, BUF 25

   (9:18) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep middle to 83-L.Evans for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at TEN 2, crossing toward middle from left.

   +16pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:10·TEN 30, BUF 29

   (2:10) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short left to 21-W.McGahee pushed ob at TEN 41 for 19 yards (31-C.Finnegan). Screen pass, caught at BUF 36.

   +14pp

   BUF