Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:28·BUF 31, NE 37

   (:28) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 32-D.McCourty at NE -3. Touchback.

   +27pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 9:43·BUF 24, NE 34

   (9:43) 22-F.Jackson left guard to NE 1 for 12 yards (32-D.McCourty). New England challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 22-F.Jackson left guard to NE 1 for 12 yards (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-24-K.Arrington at NE 1. 24-K.Arrington to NE 1 for no gain (22-F.Jackson).

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:30·BUF 0, NE 3

   (5:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at BUF 13 for -10 yards (75-V.Wilfork). FUMBLES (75-V.Wilfork) [75-V.Wilfork], RECOVERED by NE-96-J.Cunningham at BUF 13. 96-J.Cunningham to BUF 13 for no gain (67-A.Levitre).

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:39·BUF 31, NE 37

   (:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 28-C.Spiller ran ob at NE 15 for 14 yards.

   +10pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 9:16·BUF 24, NE 34

   (9:16) 28-C.Spiller right tackle pushed ob at NE 31 for 14 yards (51-J.Mayo). PENALTY on NE-51-J.Mayo, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NE 31.

   +7pp

   BUF