Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 7:35·NYJ 26, NE 29

   (7:35) 6-M.Sanchez sacked at NYJ 28 for -12 yards (sack split by 50-R.Ninkovich and 96-J.Cunningham). FUMBLES (50-R.Ninkovich), RECOVERED by NE-50-R.Ninkovich at NYJ 25. The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +49pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:06·NYJ 23, NE 23

   2-N.Folk kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to NE 0. 32-D.McCourty to NE 15 for 15 yards (36-L.Hilliard). FUMBLES (36-L.Hilliard), RECOVERED by NYJ-39-A.Allen at NE 18.

   +37pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:51·NYJ 7, NE 6

   2-N.Folk kicks 69 yards from NYJ 35 to NE -4. 32-D.McCourty for 104 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 2nd longest KO return in franchise history (Hobbs 108)

   +20pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q5 · 11:07·NYJ 26, NE 29

   (11:07) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.

   +19pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q5 · 8:47·NYJ 26, NE 29

   (8:47) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 11-J.Kerley pushed ob at NYJ 40 for 17 yards (24-K.Arrington).

   +17pp

   NYJ