Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 9:56·NE 13, NYJ 0

   (9:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 34-S.Vereen for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:01·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (6:01) 6-M.Sanchez pass short right intended for 29-B.Powell INTERCEPTED by 28-S.Gregory at NE 15. 28-S.Gregory to NE 16 for 1 yard (29-B.Powell).

   +13pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 9:00·NE 27, NYJ 0

   3-S.Gostkowski kicks 70 yards from NE 35 to NYJ -5. 25-J.McKnight to NYJ 20 for 25 yards (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-11-J.Edelman at NYJ 22. 11-J.Edelman for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:09·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (10:09) 3-S.Gostkowski 39 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.

   +10pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 11:20·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (11:20) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 81-A.Hernandez to NYJ 22 for 28 yards (20-K.Wilson; 96-M.Wilkerson).

   +8pp

   NWE