Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:34·SF 21, NO 24

   (1:34) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep middle to 15-M.Crabtree to NO 27 for 51 yards (24-C.White). Pass 48, YAC 3

   +33pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:10·SF 21, NO 17

   (3:10) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 12-M.Colston to SF 10 for 24 yards (29-C.Culliver). Pass 5, YAC 19

   +31pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q5 · 5:28·SF 24, NO 24

   (5:28) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees sacked at NO 10 for -5 yards (55-A.Brooks). FUMBLES (55-A.Brooks), RECOVERED by SF-50-C.Borland at NO 17. 50-C.Borland to NO 17 for no gain (39-T.Cadet). The Replay Official challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +26pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q5 · 7:50·SF 24, NO 24

   (7:50) 4-A.Lee punts 51 yards to NO 9, Center-86-K.Nelson, fair catch by 10-B.Cooks.

   +26pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q5 · 8:26·SF 24, NO 24

   (8:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick sacked at SF 40 for -7 yards (53-R.Humber).

   +22pp

   NOR