Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:27·NO 7, SF 0

   (9:27) 43-M.Hicks up the middle to NO 45 for 6 yards (29-J.Bullocks). FUMBLES (29-J.Bullocks), RECOVERED by NO-55-S.Fujita at NO 41. 55-S.Fujita to NO 41 for no gain (44-M.Norris). During the fumble, 4-yards of loose ball yardage.

   +11pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:59·NO 0, SF 0

   (12:59) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 81-D.Patten to SF 30 for 43 yards (26-M.Roman). Caught at SF 33.

   +10pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:30·NO 6, SF 0

   (11:30) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 8.

   +6pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q2 · 7:06·NO 10, SF 0

   (7:06) 9-D.Brees pass incomplete deep left to 12-M.Colston. PENALTY on SF-36-S.Spencer, Defensive Pass Interference, 36 yards, enforced at SF 38 - No Play. Pass thrown off of flea flicker with Bush

   +6pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q2 · 13:31·NO 10, SF 0

   (13:31) 4-A.Lee punts 46 yards to NO 4, Center-86-B.Jennings, downed by SF-84-Mike Lewis.

   +6pp

   SFO