Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:19·NO 19, SF 14

   (11:19) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Porter (56-J.Dunbar) at NO 10. 22-T.Porter to NO 15 for 5 yards (68-A.Snyder).

   +24pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:09·NO 9, SF 7

   (1:09) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 46-Del.Walker to NO 8 for 4 yards (51-J.Vilma). FUMBLES (51-J.Vilma), RECOVERED by NO-27-M.Jenkins at NO 3. 27-M.Jenkins to NO 3 for no gain (68-A.Snyder). Caught at NO 10. There was 5-yards loose ball yardage from the NO 8 to NO 3.

   +23pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:02·NO 25, SF 22

   (:02) 5-G.Hartley 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-J.Kyle, Holder-6-T.Morstead. Field goal deflected

   +21pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:39·NO 22, SF 22

   (:39) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 12-M.Colston to SF 18 for 30 yards (38-D.Goldson). Caught at SF 23.

   +19pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:19·NO 22, SF 22

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-A.Smith pass to 85-V.Davis is complete. ATTEMPT FAILS. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-A.Smith pass to 85-V.Davis is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +19pp

   SFO