Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:28·SF 3, NO 0

   (4:28) 9-D.Brees pass short middle intended for 16-L.Moore INTERCEPTED by 51-T.Spikes at SF 37. 51-T.Spikes to SF 37 for no gain (83-B.Miller).

   +18pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:01·SF 3, NO 0

   (13:01) 14-J.O'Sullivan sacked at SF 34 for -5 yards (91-W.Smith). FUMBLES (91-W.Smith), touched at SF 34, RECOVERED by NO-51-J.Vilma at SF 32. 51-J.Vilma to SF 32 for no gain (21-F.Gore).

   +17pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:07·SF 3, NO 13

   (3:07) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 16-L.Moore for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:44·SF 9, NO 21

   (2:44) 14-J.O'Sullivan pass short middle intended for 82-B.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 43-K.Kaesviharn at NO -4. 43-K.Kaesviharn to NO 9 for 13 yards (46-D.Walker).

   +8pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:27·SF 3, NO 0

   (6:27) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 16-L.Moore ran ob at NO 47 for 18 yards.

   +8pp

   NOR