Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 11:40·NE 13, NYJ 9

   (11:40) 14-Z.Mesko punts 53 yards to NYJ 18, Center-48-D.Aiken. 25-J.McKnight MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by NE-90-N.Koutouvides at NYJ 13.

   +19pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:17·NE 12, NYJ 9

   (:17) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-96-M.Wilkerson, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +17pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:47·NE 16, NYJ 9

   (7:47) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left intended for 23-S.Greene INTERCEPTED by 50-R.Ninkovich at NE 25. 50-R.Ninkovich to NE 43 for 18 yards (81-D.Keller).

   +16pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:22·NE 3, NYJ 0

   (4:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 85-C.Ochocinco to NYJ 18 for 53 yards (30-D.Strickland; 31-A.Cromartie).

   +13pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 11:36·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (11:36) 2-N.Folk 24 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-8-M.Brunell.

   +9pp

   NWE