Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 6:55·NYJ 0, NE 3

   (6:55) 2-N.Folk 53 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.

   +12pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:07·NYJ 0, NE 16

   (1:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-D.Branch for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:54·NYJ 0, NE 0

   (11:54) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-D.Branch ran ob at NYJ 23 for 20 yards.

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:49·NYJ 0, NE 3

   (4:49) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 87-R.Gronkowski. PENALTY on NYJ-33-E.Smith, Defensive Pass Interference, 36 yards, enforced at NYJ 37 - No Play.

   +8pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:35·NYJ 0, NE 3

   (8:35) 78-W.Hunter reported in as eligible. 23-S.Greene up the middle to NYJ 48 for 2 yards (31-B.Meriweather, 27-K.Arrington).

   +7pp

   NYJ