Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 11:17·IND 14, NE 20

   (11:17) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Talib at NE 41. 31-A.Talib for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 12:14·IND 14, NE 13

   (12:14) 1-P.McAfee punts 47 yards to NE 32, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-J.Edelman for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:43·IND 0, NE 0

   (11:43) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep middle to 11-D.Avery. PENALTY on NE-24-K.Arrington, Defensive Pass Interference, 40 yards, enforced at NE 46 - No Play.

   +13pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:32·IND 7, NE 7

   (3:32) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 15-L.Brazill pushed ob at NE 30 for 25 yards (31-A.Talib). Penalty on NE-24-K.Arrington, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +11pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:10·IND 7, NE 6

   (7:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 42nd straight regular season game with a TD pass, 3rd longest all-time. NE 87-Gronkowski 36th career TD reception, ties John Jefferson for 3rd-most rec TD in 1st 3 NFL seasons all-time.

   +8pp

   NWE