Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 14:17·NE 10, IND 13

   (14:17) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left intended for 88-K.Brady INTERCEPTED by 58-G.Brackett at IND 25. 58-G.Brackett ran ob at NE 47 for 28 yards. PENALTY on NE-72-M.Light, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at NE 47.

   +26pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:28·NE 7, IND 12

   (:28) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 29-J.Addai for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:28·NE 17, IND 20

   (3:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 18-D.Stallworth pushed ob at IND 13 for 33 yards (41-A.Bethea).

   +17pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 3:21·NE 23, IND 20

   (3:21) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 8:59·NE 10, IND 20

   (8:59) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 81-R.Moss to IND 3 for 55 yards (41-A.Bethea). IND-21-B.Sanders was injured during the play. His return is Probable. Penalty on IND-41-A.Bethea, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +13pp

   NWE