Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:16·NE 34, IND 34

   (:16) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +31pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:08·NE 34, IND 28

   (2:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 33-K.Faulk to NE 29 for 1 yard (33-M.Bullitt).

   +25pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:09·NE 34, IND 35

   (:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker to NE 29 for 9 yards. Lateral to 84-B.Watson to NE 29 for no gain (40-J.Silva).

   +22pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:00·NE 34, IND 28

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne to NE 14 for 15 yards (24-J.Wilhite).

   +13pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:36·NE 34, IND 28

   (:36) 29-J.Addai left tackle to NE 1 for no gain (75-V.Wilfork, 92-R.Brace).

   +13pp

   NWE