Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:35·IND 0, NE 3

   (5:35) (Shotgun) 6-D.Orlovsky pass short right to 84-J.Tamme pushed ob at NE 33 for 20 yards (18-M.Slater).

   +11pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 14:35·IND 0, NE 3

   (14:35) (Shotgun) 6-D.Orlovsky sacked at NE 13 for -8 yards (50-R.Ninkovich).

   +10pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 5:54·IND 3, NE 3

   (5:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 85-C.Ochocinco to IND 29 for 12 yards (36-C.Rucker).

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 7:48·IND 0, NE 3

   (7:48) (Shotgun) 6-D.Orlovsky pass short left to 87-R.Wayne to IND 43 for 12 yards (24-K.Arrington).

   +7pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 4:11·IND 3, NE 3

   (4:11) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker to IND 16 for 18 yards (35-J.Lefeged; 52-A.Edds). NE 83-Welker 5,729 career receiving yards as a Patriot, passing Irving Fryar for 3rd in team history.

   +7pp

   NWE