Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:53·NE 15, IND 18

   (4:53) (Run formation) 42-B.Green-Ellis right tackle to IND 31 for 1 yard (58-G.Brackett). PENALTY on NE-86-D.Thomas, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 31.

   +16pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:10·NE 15, IND 15

   (10:10) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 11-A.Gonzalez to NE 37 for 24 yards (31-B.Meriweather).

   +14pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q3 · 3:18·NE 12, IND 13

   (3:18) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 11-A.Gonzalez for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:09·NE 15, IND 18

   (8:09) 4-A.Vinatieri 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. Penalty on NE-96-A.Thomas, Illegal Formation, declined. Penalty called covering the center.

   +13pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:01·NE 6, IND 7

   (:01) 18-P.Manning spiked the ball to stop the clock. PENALTY on IND-18-P.Manning, False Start, 0 yards, enforced at NE 26 - No Play. Ten-second run off on the penalty ends the half.

   +12pp

   NWE