Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:37·IND 28, NE 31

   (:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right intended for 85-P.Garcon INTERCEPTED by 36-J.Sanders at NE 6. 36-J.Sanders to NE 6 for no gain (85-P.Garcon).

   +43pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:15·IND 0, NE 0

   (10:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left intended for 15-B.White INTERCEPTED by 31-B.Meriweather at NE 29. 31-B.Meriweather to IND 32 for 39 yards (15-B.White).

   +14pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:57·IND 28, NE 31

   (:57) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne to NE 24 for 15 yards (31-B.Meriweather).

   +13pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:08·IND 21, NE 31

   (5:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon to NE 33 for 17 yards (25-P.Chung, 32-D.McCourty). PENALTY on NE-95-T.Banta-Cain, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NE 33.

   +9pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:08·IND 13, NE 21

   (:08) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   IND