Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:05·IND 0, NE 0

   (9:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-M.Harrison to NE 29 for 44 yards (37-R.Harrison) [59-R.Colvin]. NE-37-R.Harrison was injured during the play.

   +17pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 9:30·IND 0, NE 0

   (9:30) 12-T.Brady pass deep left intended for 85-D.Gabriel INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND -6. 41-A.Bethea to IND 32 for 38 yards (72-M.Light).

   +14pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:23·IND 27, NE 20

   (1:23) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 33-K.Faulk INTERCEPTED by 59-C.June at IND 32. 59-C.June to IND 35 for 3 yards (33-K.Faulk).

   +14pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 4:14·IND 14, NE 14

   3-S.Gostkowski kicks 69 yards from NE 30 to IND 1. 10-T.Wilkins to NE 29 for 70 yards (99-M.Wright).

   +14pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:21·IND 17, NE 14

   (12:21) 28-C.Dillon up the middle to NE 31 for 4 yards (79-R.Brock, 54-F.Keiaho). FUMBLES (79-R.Brock), RECOVERED by IND-79-R.Brock at NE 31. 79-R.Brock for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by NE and REVERSED. 28-C.Dillon up the middle to NE 31 for 4 yards (79-R.Brock, 54-F.Keiaho). FUMBLES (79-R.Brock), RECOVERED by IND-79-R.Brock at NE 31. 79-R.Brock to NE 31 for no gain (72-M.Light).

   +11pp

   IND