Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:18·IND 14, NE 7

   (2:18) 28-C.Dillon left tackle to IND 18 for -1 yards (21-B.Sanders). FUMBLES (21-B.Sanders), RECOVERED by IND-42-J.David at IND 22. 42-J.David to IND 27 for 5 yards (82-D.Graham).

   +16pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 14:15·IND 0, NE 0

   (14:15) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to NE 9 for 48 yards (22-A.Samuel, 21-R.Gay).

   +15pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:07·IND 14, NE 7

   (4:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens pushed ob at IND 31 for 35 yards (42-J.David).

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:57·IND 7, NE 6

   (5:57) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 5:35·IND 14, NE 7

   (5:35) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 35 for -12 yards (79-R.Brock). FUMBLES (79-R.Brock), recovered by NE-68-T.Ashworth at NE 29. 68-T.Ashworth to NE 29 for no gain (79-R.Brock).

   +7pp

   IND