Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:03·HOU 24, JAX 30

   (:03) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 80-M.Thomas for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. HT29 batted on HT1, caught by JJ80 on HT1. Penalty on JAX, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, declined.

   +26pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:39·HOU 24, JAX 24

   (1:39) 10-J.Scobee 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.

   +24pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:16·HOU 24, JAX 24

   (:16) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle to 85-J.Dreessen to JAX 37 for 8 yards (37-S.Considine). FUMBLES (37-S.Considine), RECOVERED by JAX-56-J.Durant at JAX 34. 56-J.Durant to JAX 34 for no gain (85-J.Dreessen).

   +24pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:08·HOU 17, JAX 23

   (7:08) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 86-Z.Miller for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 4:26·HOU 23, JAX 24

   (4:26) 8-M.Schaub pass incomplete deep left to 83-K.Walter. Houston challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 8-M.Schaub pass deep left to 83-K.Walter for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   HOU